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Fed water level

BTC vs Fed Liquidity

把 BTC 月度收盘价与美联储净流动性放在同一张归一化图里,帮助社区讨论宏观水位,而不是做短线判断。

净流动性 = Fed 资产负债表 - 美国财政部现金账户 - 隔夜逆回购

这是宏观背景图,不是价格预测,也不构成投资建议。

BTC 变化

+563%

最新水位

$5.84T

净流动性变化

+57%

对比图

Snapshot updated 2026-07-03. Lines are normalized to compare direction.

BTCFed net liquidity
2020-012022-042024-072026-07Normalized range: low = 0, high = 100

最新水位

Fed 资产负债表$6.72T
- TGA$0.88T
- 逆回购$0.00T
Net liquidity$5.84T
Water rising does not guarantee BTC rising. The point is to keep macro liquidity visible beside BTC research notes.

季度快照

DateBTCNet waterFedTGARRP
2026-07$62,046$5.84T$6.72T$0.88T$0.00T
2026-04$76,347$5.83T$6.68T$0.85T$0.00T
2026-01$78,741$5.70T$6.64T$0.84T$0.11T
2025-10$109,608$5.77T$6.59T$0.81T$0.01T
2025-07$115,764$6.05T$6.66T$0.36T$0.25T
2025-04$94,172$6.15T$6.74T$0.36T$0.23T
2025-01$102,430$5.66T$6.85T$0.72T$0.47T
2024-10$70,292$5.90T$7.08T$0.81T$0.38T